Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.378440 0.413757 0.451435 0.494713 0.543160 0.595846 0.657645
2025-11-30 0.321541 0.371196 0.427819 0.497556 0.581668 0.680518 0.806470
2025-12-07 0.283593 0.339222 0.405506 0.491072 0.599717 0.734569 0.916990
2025-12-14 0.256116 0.314988 0.387607 0.484949 0.613818 0.781174 1.019295
2025-12-21 0.230460 0.289821 0.365119 0.469203 0.611848 0.804258 1.090089
2025-12-28 0.218422 0.280620 0.361673 0.477123 0.640837 0.870209 1.226194
2026-01-04 0.207475 0.271672 0.357371 0.482790 0.666266 0.932503 1.363022
2026-01-11 0.197075 0.262487 0.351720 0.485564 0.687039 0.989062 1.496689
2026-01-18 0.187575 0.253742 0.345818 0.487096 0.705502 1.043096 1.631829
2026-01-25 0.179929 0.247008 0.342131 0.491298 0.727918 1.104788 1.786455
2026-02-01 0.169220 0.235133 0.330070 0.481662 0.727371 1.128750 1.877769
2026-02-08 0.162777 0.229079 0.326163 0.484195 0.746333 1.186431 2.036233
2026-02-15 0.154997 0.220699 0.318377 0.480242 0.754605 1.227281 2.170234
2026-02-22 0.149370 0.215256 0.314749 0.482698 0.773865 1.289309 2.353884
2026-03-01 0.142224 0.207061 0.306283 0.476454 0.777278 1.322581 2.483806
2026-03-08 0.135728 0.199523 0.298394 0.470552 0.780640 1.355780 2.617756
2026-03-15 0.127765 0.189281 0.285596 0.455373 0.765865 1.352675 2.672525
2026-03-22 0.125028 0.187217 0.285963 0.463008 0.793749 1.435559 2.930768
2026-03-29 0.122032 0.184565 0.285173 0.468471 0.817869 1.513246 3.189373
2026-04-05 0.118698 0.181184 0.282950 0.471144 0.836716 1.581865 3.437347
2026-04-12 0.115352 0.177617 0.280201 0.472621 0.853231 1.647126 3.687788
2026-04-19 0.112647 0.174988 0.278907 0.476671 0.875183 1.726463 3.988478
2026-04-26 0.107870 0.168649 0.270835 0.467383 0.868913 1.741980 4.120471